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Trading was light, and BTC continued to fluctuate and adjust in the cooling sentiment after the expected downward adjustment (12.23~12.29)
The future price movement will largely depend on the improvement in U.S. stock market sentiment and the allocation of BTC and ETH by mainstream U.S. funds and institutions.
EMC Labs December report: US rate cut expectations lowered, BTC will hit $100,000 again after high adjustment
The adjustment triggered by the downshift in U.S. rate cut expectations, along with the restoration of liquidity, are two necessary conditions for BTC to regain its upward momentum.
Selling pressure shrinks, liquidity recovers, BTC may resume its upward trend (12.30~01.05)
This relatively stable holding structure and accumulation of stablecoins indicate that there is no significant adjustment pressure within the market.
Non-agricultural data hit hard, interest rate cut expectations turned, BTC medium-term trend faces a big test (01.06~01.12)
The exchange inventory continues to decline, reaching 29,770 BTC this week, marking the largest outflow in six weeks. This indicates that BTC at the $90,000–$100,000 range still holds significant appeal for many investors.
Dramatic reversal, US macro data temporarily turns "good", "Trump 2.0" rises again (01.13~01.19)
The fervent speculative sentiment has led people to focus on the potential seismic shifts in the crypto market that could be triggered by a "Trump 2.0" scenario.
BTC hits record high, Japanese yen raises interest rates, and Trump's crypto-friendly policies begin to take effect (01.20~01.26)
BTC has reached a new all-time high, the Japanese yen has seen an interest rate hike, and Trump's crypto-friendly policies are beginning to take effect.
EMC Labs January report: BTC rises another 9.7%, facing a severe impact from Trump’s economic policies
In terms of holding structure, capital supply, and optimistic sentiment, BTC has the momentum to climb further. The biggest obstacle comes from the panic and liquidity pressure that could be triggered by potential tariffs.
Subject to macroeconomic factors, CPI and Powell's speech will dominate the short-term trend of BTC (02.03~02.09)
BTC has reached a new all-time high, the Japanese yen has raised interest rates, and Trump's crypto-friendly policies are starting to take effect.
EMC Labs BTC Weekly Observation (02.10~02.16): "Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks" have made progress, low volatility BTC will decide the direction
The end of the "Russia-Ukraine conflict" would undoubtedly bring a significant positive variable to the global economy and financial markets.
The "Russia-Ukraine War" is coming to an end, inflation expectations data suddenly appeared, and BTC fluctuated in a narrow range (02.17~02.23)
The deteriorating U.S. stock market environment has led to continuous outflows from BTC Spot ETFs, which remains a key reason for BTC's weakness.
EMC Labs
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